Background and objective
A cytokine storm is caused by inflammatory cells, including pro-inflammatory macrophage phenotype (M1), and play a critical role in the pathogenesis of COVID-19, in which diffuse alveolar damage occurs in the lungs due to oxidative stress exposure. Heme oxygenase (HO)-1 is a stress-induced protein produced by the anti-inflammatory / anti-oxidative macrophage phenotype (M2), which also produces soluble CD163 (sCD163). In our study, we investigated and determined that serum HO-1 can be a predictive biomarker for assessing both the severity and the outcome of COVID-19 patients.

Method
The serum concentrations of HO-1 and sCD163 of COVID-19 patients were measured on admission. The relationship between these biomarkers and other clinical parameters and outcomes were evaluated.

Results
Sixty-four COVID-19 patients (11 mild, 38 moderate, and 15 severe cases) were assessed. The serum HO-1 tended to increase (11.0 ng/mL vs. 24.3 ng/mL vs. 59.6 ng/mL with severity). Serum HO-1 correlated with serum lactate dehydrogenase (R = 0.422), C-reactive protein (R = 0.463), and the ground glass opacity (GGO) and consolidation score (R = 0.625) of chest computed tomography. The serum HO-1 showed a better area under the curve (AUC) for predicting ICU admission than the serum sCD163 (HO-1; 0.816 and sCD163; 0.743). In addition, composite parameters including serum HO-1 and the GGO and consolidation score showed a higher AUC for predicting ICU admission than the AUC of a single parameter.

Conclusion
Clinically, serum HO-1, reflecting the activation of M2, could be a very useful marker for evaluating disease severity and predicting prognoses for COVID-19 patients. In addition, controlling activated M2 might be a preventative COVID-19 therapeutic target.